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Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze prediction

2026-10-10 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-10T18:15:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze match analysis

What is the Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Jagiellonia (H) at 38.4%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:13:00+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–3

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 38.4%

Low
1 38.4%X 26.4%2 35.2%
Double chance

12 · 73.6%

Low
1X 64.8%X2 61.6%12 73.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:13:00+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 38.4%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings32.4%38.8%28.8%
Market · margin removed38.4%26.4%35.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson39.9%26.0%34.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Jagiellonia

WLWLL

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-20Legia (H)1–3
2026-09-11Wisla (A)0–2
2026-09-06Slask Wroclaw (H)2–1
2026-09-03Lech Poznan (A)1–2
2026-08-30Rakow (A)5–2

Gornik Zabrze

WWWWD

Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-19Motor Lublin (A)0–0
2026-09-15Korona Kielce (A)2–0
2026-09-12Lech Poznan (H)2–1
2026-09-06Cracovia (A)1–0
2026-09-03Rakow (A)2–1

Head to head

2026-04-24 · Jagiellonia 1–2 Gornik Zabrze

2025-10-26 · Gornik Zabrze 2–1 Jagiellonia

2025-05-04 · Jagiellonia 1–1 Gornik Zabrze

2024-11-03 · Gornik Zabrze 0–2 Jagiellonia

2024-03-02 · Gornik Zabrze 2–1 Jagiellonia

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:13:00+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: f723add8e85c5861caf2a9c6c58cf82e7ef813a2dff0c0aa680a506dd7470e40
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →