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Jaro vs Mariehamn prediction

2026-10-17 · FIN · Kickoff 2026-10-17T11:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Jaro vs Mariehamn match analysis

What is the Jaro vs Mariehamn prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Jaro (H) at 42.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:28+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 42.1%

Low
1 42.1%X 26.5%2 31.4%
Double chance

12 · 73.5%

Low
1X 68.6%X2 57.9%12 73.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:28+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 42.1%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 11%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings36.2%36.9%26.9%
Market · margin removed42.1%26.5%31.4%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson38.2%26.1%35.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Jaro

LLDDW

Scored / game: 0.60
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-10TPS (A)1–0
2026-09-18Lahti (A)1–1
2026-09-12SJK (H)1–1
2026-09-08Ilves (A)0–2
2026-08-31Mariehamn (A)0–2

Mariehamn

WLWLD

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-10Ilves (H)1–1
2026-09-18SJK (A)1–2
2026-09-12TPS (H)1–0
2026-09-08Lahti (A)1–2
2026-08-31Jaro (H)2–0

Head to head

2026-08-31 · Mariehamn 2–0 Jaro

2026-05-23 · Jaro 3–0 Mariehamn

2025-09-28 · Jaro 2–3 Mariehamn

2025-07-06 · Jaro 1–1 Mariehamn

2025-04-05 · Mariehamn 0–2 Jaro

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:28+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 99d6b49670fb7ab408457ba5bc3a3d452fac6b6ff17e8553eae4eac590213322
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →