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Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor prediction

2026-10-18 · T1 · Kickoff 2026-10-18T10:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor match analysis

What is the Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Kasimpasa (H) at 38.2%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:40:24+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 4–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 38.2%

Low
1 38.2%X 27.0%2 34.7%
Double chance

12 · 73.0%

Low
1X 65.3%X2 61.8%12 73.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:40:24+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 38.2%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings33.7%38.2%28.2%
Market · margin removed38.2%27.0%34.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson40.4%25.5%34.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Kasimpasa

DDWDL

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-09Galatasaray (A)1–3
2026-09-18Konyaspor (H)0–0
2026-09-13Genclerbirligi (A)2–1
2026-09-06Amedspor (H)2–2
2026-08-30Buyuksehyr (A)1–1

Samsunspor

LLLLL

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-10Trabzonspor (H)0–3
2026-09-20Erzurumspor (A)0–1
2026-09-12Corum (H)1–5
2026-09-06Kocaelispor (A)0–1
2026-08-30Fenerbahce (H)0–2

Head to head

2026-01-30 · Kasimpasa 0–1 Samsunspor

2025-09-17 · Samsunspor 0–0 Kasimpasa

2025-03-29 · Samsunspor 0–2 Kasimpasa

2024-10-26 · Kasimpasa 1–4 Samsunspor

2024-04-27 · Kasimpasa 1–0 Samsunspor

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:40:24+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 4f9cc7a45810eb0f0571e00b71514e32274b6cddc569d20421570b088aa20469
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →