Kilmarnock vs Hearts prediction
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2026-09-19 · SC0 · Kickoff 2026-09-19T16:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Kilmarnock vs Hearts prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Hearts (A) at 58.4%. The double-chance call is X2 at 80.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:14:09+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 58.4%
MediumX2 · 80.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:14:09+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 58.4%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 13%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 22.3% | 32.3% | 45.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 19.2% | 22.4% | 58.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 27.5% | 25.7% | 46.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-15
Data fingerprint: a011a4d124265c49758b1e08da882e995cef06e5602a243246faf099baddd1ed
Model: existing-source-policy-v1