Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice prediction
GK2026-10-24 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-24T12:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: GKS Katowice (A) at 39.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-18T18:16:13+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 39.6%
Low12 · 73.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-18T18:16:13+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-10-24T11:42:45+00:00. 2.2 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-24T11:45:07+00:00.
1 · 44.3%
✓ Correct12 · 74.6%
✓ CorrectPrediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; A has probability 39.6%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 14%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 31.1% | 39.4% | 29.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 34.0% | 25.6% | 40.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Korona Kielce
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
GKS Katowice
Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-25 · Korona Kielce 1–1 GKS Katowice
2025-10-25 · GKS Katowice 1–0 Korona Kielce
2025-05-05 · Korona Kielce 2–1 GKS Katowice
2024-11-04 · GKS Katowice 1–2 Korona Kielce
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 5bed97990eea5a3b45ce3b3e4084f9e5a6308eb1693b788679d88dd9a655e037
Model: existing-source-policy-v1