Kristiansund vs Valerenga prediction
V2026-11-07 · NOR · Kickoff 2026-11-07T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Kristiansund vs Valerenga prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Valerenga (A) at 44.4%. The double-chance call is 12 at 77.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:31+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 44.4%
Low12 · 77.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:31+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 44.4%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 17%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 29.6% | 39.6% | 30.9% |
| Market · margin removed | 32.7% | 22.9% | 44.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 42.5% | 24.1% | 33.3% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Kristiansund
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 2.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Valerenga
Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-29 · Valerenga 3–1 Kristiansund
2025-11-22 · Valerenga 3–3 Kristiansund
2025-04-27 · Kristiansund 0–2 Valerenga
2023-12-10 · Valerenga 0–2 Kristiansund
2023-12-06 · Kristiansund 0–2 Valerenga
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: 3212df28621a4aae9aed1c8be8ab0f80fcbaf197946fdad690be68888bb74241
Model: existing-source-policy-v1