Kyoto vs Machida prediction
M2026-10-10 · JPN · Kickoff 2026-10-10T10:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Kyoto vs Machida prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Machida (A) at 50.2%. The double-chance call is X2 at 76.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:55+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 50.2%
LowX2 · 76.6%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:55+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 50.2%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 21%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 32.0% | 39.0% | 29.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 23.4% | 26.4% | 50.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 27.4% | 27.4% | 45.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Kyoto
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Machida
Scored / game: 2.40
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2025-09-23 · Kyoto 1–1 Machida
2025-05-07 · Machida 1–2 Kyoto
2024-11-30 · Machida 1–0 Kyoto
2024-05-06 · Kyoto 0–3 Machida
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 5c0d4e2d4516be93b23f5dfda16209d037b5a132b956a253ec2f615e87ec4850
Model: existing-source-policy-v1