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Lahti vs TPS prediction

2026-10-17 · FIN · Kickoff 2026-10-17T11:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Lahti vs TPS match analysis

What is the Lahti vs TPS prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Lahti (H) at 56.3%. The double-chance call is 1X at 80.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:29+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 5–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 56.3%

Medium
1 56.3%X 24.2%2 19.5%
Double chance

1X · 80.5%

Low
1X 80.5%X2 43.7%12 75.8%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:29+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 56.3%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 16%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings40.0%35.0%25.0%
Market · margin removed56.3%24.2%19.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson45.1%26.7%28.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Lahti

WWLDL

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-09SJK (A)0–1
2026-09-18Jaro (H)1–1
2026-09-12Ilves (A)1–3
2026-09-08Mariehamn (H)2–1
2026-08-31VPS (A)1–0

TPS

DDLLL

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-10Jaro (H)0–1
2026-09-19Ilves (H)0–3
2026-09-12Mariehamn (A)0–1
2026-09-08SJK (H)0–0
2026-08-31Gnistan (A)1–1

Head to head

2026-06-23 · Lahti 0–0 TPS

2026-04-10 · TPS 2–1 Lahti

2022-10-23 · Lahti 2–1 TPS

2022-10-20 · TPS 1–1 Lahti

2020-09-17 · Lahti 1–1 TPS

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:29+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 99d6b49670fb7ab408457ba5bc3a3d452fac6b6ff17e8553eae4eac590213322
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →