Kickstatix football crestKICKSTATIXFOOTBALL. WITH THE FACTS.
Every match. Every call.
Our track record ↗
← FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS

Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield prediction

2026-10-12 · ARG · Kickoff 2026-10-12T19:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield match analysis

What is the Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Lanus (H) at 42.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 75.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:35+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 42.0%

Low
1 42.0%X 33.2%2 24.9%
Double chance

1X · 75.1%

Low
1X 75.1%X2 58.0%12 66.8%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:35+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 42.0%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 11%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings30.9%39.6%29.6%
Market · margin removed42.0%33.2%24.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson41.8%28.5%29.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-06. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Lanus

LWWWD

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-03Newells Old Boys (A)0–0
2026-09-22Estudiantes L.P. (H)2–1
2026-09-14Dep. Riestra (A)3–0
2026-09-06Defensa y Justicia (H)1–0
2026-08-29Boca Juniors (A)0–1

Velez Sarsfield

DWDWD

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-05Platense (H)2–2
2026-09-21Tigre (H)3–2
2026-09-11Newells Old Boys (A)1–1
2026-09-06Estudiantes L.P. (H)1–0
2026-08-29Dep. Riestra (A)1–1

Head to head

2026-03-21 · Velez Sarsfield 0–1 Lanus

2025-08-31 · Velez Sarsfield 3–0 Lanus

2025-02-22 · Lanus 0–0 Velez Sarsfield

2024-11-20 · Velez Sarsfield 0–0 Lanus

2023-07-05 · Lanus 0–1 Velez Sarsfield

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:12:35+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-06
Data fingerprint: 559dac64fdcbc69d3541e7359be5386f251944b6dac22921b9bc9f319096f0b0
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →