Las Palmas vs Burgos prediction
B
2026-09-20 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-09-20T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Las Palmas vs Burgos prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Las Palmas (H) at 46.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 75.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:22:21+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 46.8%
Low1X · 75.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:22:21+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 46.8%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 39.1% | 35.4% | 25.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 46.8% | 28.2% | 25.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 51.0% | 30.0% | 19.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-14
Data fingerprint: 003d6379122d99bc3d6ef2e5e062e879fa12edb151e4a97ccddaaea15aabf9ae
Model: existing-source-policy-v1