Las Palmas vs Eldense prediction
E2026-11-08 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-11-08T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Las Palmas vs Eldense prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Las Palmas (H) at 42.8%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:28:11+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 42.8%
Low12 · 73.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:28:11+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-11-08T16:25:09+00:00. 4.8 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-08T16:32:36+00:00.
1 · 46.5%
Awaiting result
1X · 73.5%
Awaiting result
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 42.8%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 18%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 48.8% | 30.6% | 20.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 42.8% | 27.0% | 30.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 61.0% | 23.4% | 15.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Las Palmas
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Eldense
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: ff85fb71cc858931fb760706bbcebe97213b210217b01940ecd3a7df868d4bf2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1