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Las Palmas vs Sociedad B prediction

2026-10-24 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Las Palmas vs Sociedad B match analysis

What is the Las Palmas vs Sociedad B prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Las Palmas (H) at 47.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 74.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:10:17+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 47.6%

Low
1 47.6%X 26.3%2 26.0%
Double chance

1X · 74.0%

Low
1X 74.0%X2 52.4%12 73.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:10:17+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 47.6%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings48.1%30.9%20.9%
Market · margin removed47.6%26.3%26.0%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson59.9%22.8%17.3%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Las Palmas

LLDLL

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-17Castellon (H)0–3
2026-10-11Mallorca (A)1–3
2026-10-04Valladolid (H)2–2
2026-09-27Eibar (A)2–3
2026-09-20Burgos (H)1–2

Sociedad B

LLLLL

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-17Almeria (H)2–4
2026-10-10Celta B (A)1–4
2026-10-04Granada (H)2–3
2026-09-26Ceuta (A)1–3
2026-09-19Mallorca (H)0–1

Head to head

2026-01-30 · Sociedad B 1–1 Las Palmas

2025-09-12 · Las Palmas 2–1 Sociedad B

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:10:17+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: 13e6f170423536a48d5cb0b90ed806e30c8aed6fc08edb7e57efac43aab3ae9e
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →