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Las Palmas vs Valladolid prediction

2026-10-04 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-10-04T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Las Palmas vs Valladolid match analysis

What is the Las Palmas vs Valladolid prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Las Palmas (H) at 44.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 73.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-02T09:19:01+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 44.0%

Low
1 44.0%X 29.0%2 27.0%
Double chance

1X · 73.0%

Low
1X 73.0%X2 56.0%12 71.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-02T09:19:01+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 44.0%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 9%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings47.8%31.1%21.1%
Market · margin removed44.0%29.0%27.0%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson52.7%28.1%19.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-28. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Las Palmas

LDWLL

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-27Eibar (A)2–3
2026-09-20Burgos (H)1–2
2026-09-12Cadiz (A)1–0
2026-09-04Leganes (H)0–0
2026-08-29Girona (A)2–5

Valladolid

DWLDW

Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-27Cordoba (H)3–1
2026-09-20Ceuta (A)1–1
2026-09-13Oviedo (H)0–3
2026-09-05Andorra (H)1–0
2026-08-30Cadiz (A)1–1

Head to head

2026-05-03 · Las Palmas 2–1 Valladolid

2025-11-14 · Valladolid 0–1 Las Palmas

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-02T09:19:01+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-28
Data fingerprint: 1f3499db07b46f5e855a3145829197deb8ad0bbb72d601ae0b2b58ca24defd2d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →