Lausanne vs Thun prediction
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2026-11-01 · SWZ · Kickoff 2026-11-01T15:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Lausanne vs Thun prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Lausanne (H) at 38.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T08:45:25+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 4–5
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 38.1%
Low12 · 76.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T08:45:25+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 38.1%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 27.0% | 37.0% | 35.9% |
| Market · margin removed | 38.1% | 23.9% | 38.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 37.4% | 24.4% | 38.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Lausanne
Scored / game: 0.60
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Thun
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 2.90
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-09-02 · Thun 0–0 Lausanne
2026-02-12 · Thun 5–1 Lausanne
2025-11-30 · Lausanne 2–1 Thun
2025-08-03 · Thun 2–1 Lausanne
2018-05-13 · Lausanne 0–3 Thun
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-25
Data fingerprint: b60c4e406527434257e415c4c3c1c9ab1e80b529a65bf4fe34c2488c50a486b7
Model: existing-source-policy-v1