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Lazio vs Parma prediction

2026-10-24 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Lazio vs Parma match analysis

What is the Lazio vs Parma prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Lazio (H) at 69.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 89.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:58+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 69.8%

Medium
1 69.8%X 19.7%2 10.5%
Double chance

1X · 89.5%

Medium
1X 89.5%X2 30.2%12 80.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:58+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 69.8%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 19%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings51.3%29.3%19.3%
Market · margin removed69.8%19.7%10.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson59.3%24.6%16.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Lazio

WDWWW

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-18Juventus (A)3–0
2026-10-11Monza (H)3–1
2026-09-19Venezia (A)2–0
2026-09-12Milan (H)2–2
2026-09-07Udinese (A)2–1

Parma

DLWLL

Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-19Torino (H)0–3
2026-10-10Inter (A)0–3
2026-09-20Genoa (H)2–1
2026-09-14Como (A)1–2
2026-09-06Monza (H)1–1

Head to head

2026-04-04 · Lazio 1–1 Parma

2025-12-13 · Parma 0–1 Lazio

2025-04-28 · Lazio 2–2 Parma

2024-12-01 · Parma 3–1 Lazio

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:09:58+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: fb3ec602acc1be05704e0459b1ace93763b3d3a270b704f0d6e43654f1aedcd6
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →