Le Mans vs Lorient prediction
L2026-09-19 · F1 · Kickoff 2026-09-19T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Le Mans vs Lorient prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Lorient (A) at 36.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:08:30+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 36.6%
Low12 · 72.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:08:30+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 36.6%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 17%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 35.8% | 37.1% | 27.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 35.4% | 28.0% | 36.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 51.6% | 20.5% | 27.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-13
Data fingerprint: 52935755e33d0cc7f4c538199cc7fd2c116c86804c0628870c50ba02ddf685dc
Model: existing-source-policy-v1