Lecce vs Genoa prediction
G2026-11-01 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-11-01T17:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Lecce vs Genoa prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Genoa (A) at 38.9%. The double-chance call is X2 at 69.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:37+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 38.9%
LowX2 · 69.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:37+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 38.9%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 10%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 30.2% | 39.9% | 29.9% |
| Market · margin removed | 30.1% | 31.0% | 38.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 28.5% | 31.2% | 40.3% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-29. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Lecce
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Genoa
Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-24 · Lecce 1–0 Genoa
2025-08-23 · Genoa 0–0 Lecce
2025-03-14 · Genoa 2–1 Lecce
2025-01-05 · Lecce 0–0 Genoa
2024-01-28 · Genoa 2–1 Lecce
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-29
Data fingerprint: 6de666200529da72f8583f25ddb8f8f017dafcddc3c40b5b071f4efbe92076cf
Model: existing-source-policy-v1