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Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce prediction

2026-10-18 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-18T15:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce match analysis

What is the Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Lech Poznan (H) at 65.9%. The double-chance call is 1X at 86.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:46+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 6–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 65.9%

Medium
1 65.9%X 20.5%2 13.6%
Double chance

1X · 86.4%

Medium
1X 86.4%X2 34.1%12 79.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:46+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 65.9%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 15%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings50.6%29.7%19.7%
Market · margin removed65.9%20.5%13.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson63.7%21.6%14.6%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Lech Poznan

WWLWW

Scored / game: 2.30
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-10Slask Wroclaw (A)4–1
2026-09-20Radomiak Radom (H)5–1
2026-09-12Gornik Zabrze (A)1–2
2026-09-06Rakow (H)1–0
2026-09-03Jagiellonia (H)2–1

Korona Kielce

DWLWL

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-11Pogon Szczecin (A)0–2
2026-09-19Rakow (H)3–2
2026-09-15Gornik Zabrze (H)0–2
2026-09-12Slask Wroclaw (A)2–1
2026-09-05Wisla (H)1–1

Head to head

2026-02-22 · Korona Kielce 1–2 Lech Poznan

2025-08-16 · Lech Poznan 1–1 Korona Kielce

2025-04-05 · Lech Poznan 2–0 Korona Kielce

2024-09-29 · Korona Kielce 2–3 Lech Poznan

2024-05-25 · Lech Poznan 1–2 Korona Kielce

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:46+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 5bed97990eea5a3b45ce3b3e4084f9e5a6308eb1693b788679d88dd9a655e037
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →