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Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie prediction

2026-11-08 · POL · Kickoff 2026-11-08T19:15:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie match analysis

What is the Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Lech Poznan (H) at 64.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 85.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:34+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 64.6%

Medium
1 64.6%X 21.1%2 14.3%
Double chance

1X · 85.7%

Medium
1X 85.7%X2 35.4%12 78.9%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:34+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 64.6%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 13%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings51.2%29.4%19.4%
Market · margin removed64.6%21.1%14.3%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson59.8%22.7%17.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Lech Poznan

WWWWW

Scored / game: 3.00
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-31Wisla (H)3–1
2026-10-25Legia (A)2–1
2026-10-18Korona Kielce (H)6–1
2026-10-10Slask Wroclaw (A)4–1
2026-09-20Radomiak Radom (H)5–1

Zaglebie

LLWDW

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-11-02Korona Kielce (H)1–0
2026-10-23Motor Lublin (A)2–2
2026-10-18Jagiellonia (H)1–0
2026-10-10Cracovia (A)1–3
2026-09-20Wisla Plock (H)0–2

Head to head

2026-03-15 · Zaglebie 0–1 Lech Poznan

2025-09-12 · Lech Poznan 1–2 Zaglebie

2025-02-23 · Lech Poznan 3–1 Zaglebie

2024-08-17 · Zaglebie 0–1 Lech Poznan

2024-02-10 · Lech Poznan 2–0 Zaglebie

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T10:21:34+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: c11d98a7d52077cfbe97d7f4cccb05230e0fc7794a1579c43b5858b68c20be28
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →