Leeds vs Crystal Palace prediction
CP2026-09-20 · E0 · Kickoff 2026-09-20T13:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Leeds vs Crystal Palace prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Leeds (H) at 55.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 79.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:06:17+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–0
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 55.0%
Low1X · 79.5%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:06:17+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 55.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 16%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 38.7% | 35.7% | 25.7% |
| Market · margin removed | 55.0% | 24.5% | 20.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 39.4% | 25.9% | 34.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-14
Data fingerprint: 4976c7a08912c84794a9f8938a116d7cb612e9f910eaf6ee372ed7c6830fe749
Model: existing-source-policy-v1