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Legia vs Lech Poznan prediction

2026-10-25 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-25T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Legia vs Lech Poznan match analysis

What is the Legia vs Lech Poznan prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Lech Poznan (A) at 37.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.3%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:57:18+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–2

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 37.0%

Low
1 36.3%X 26.7%2 37.0%
Double chance

12 · 73.3%

Low
1X 63.0%X2 63.7%12 73.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:57:18+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 37.0%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 16%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings29.5%39.5%31.0%
Market · margin removed36.3%26.7%37.0%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson45.3%26.3%28.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Legia

WDWWD

Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-17Cracovia (A)1–1
2026-10-11Wisla (H)2–0
2026-09-20Jagiellonia (A)3–1
2026-09-13Widzew Lodz (H)1–1
2026-09-05Motor Lublin (A)3–2

Lech Poznan

WLWWW

Scored / game: 2.70
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-18Korona Kielce (H)6–1
2026-10-10Slask Wroclaw (A)4–1
2026-09-20Radomiak Radom (H)5–1
2026-09-12Gornik Zabrze (A)1–2
2026-09-06Rakow (H)1–0

Head to head

2026-04-26 · Lech Poznan 4–0 Legia

2025-10-26 · Legia 0–0 Lech Poznan

2025-05-11 · Legia 0–1 Lech Poznan

2024-11-10 · Lech Poznan 5–2 Legia

2024-05-12 · Lech Poznan 1–2 Legia

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T11:57:18+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: 965b656406d8a47688282f8d4fe43de19290a7b9d25fa081c968abd6711025f5
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →