Levante vs Ath Bilbao prediction
AB
2026-09-16 · SP1 · Kickoff 2026-09-16T19:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Levante vs Ath Bilbao prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Ath Bilbao (A) at 45.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.2%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-15T21:26:36+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 45.6%
Low12 · 73.2%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-16T03:04:39+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-09-16T18:28:48+00:00. 1.2 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-09-23T07:30:17+00:00. Recovered from an original pre-cutoff observation after kickoff; no later prices were used.
2 · 44.7%
Awaiting result
X2 · 72.4%
Awaiting result
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 45.6%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 17%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 32.8% | 38.6% | 28.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 27.6% | 26.8% | 45.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 33.0% | 26.0% | 41.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-14
Data fingerprint: b8b42a8e1978102a8c6d84a71b6fab8e7a02336608869ed1dbcca68b3e80dd5d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1