Leyton Orient vs Plymouth prediction
P2026-10-03 · E2 · Kickoff 2026-10-03T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Leyton Orient vs Plymouth prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Plymouth (A) at 48.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.2%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-02T09:18:32+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 48.3%
Low12 · 75.2%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-02T09:18:32+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 48.3%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 12%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 26.6% | 36.6% | 36.9% |
| Market · margin removed | 26.9% | 24.8% | 48.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 35.9% | 24.9% | 39.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-26. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Leyton Orient
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Plymouth
Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-17 · Leyton Orient 1–3 Plymouth
2025-08-19 · Plymouth 0–1 Leyton Orient
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-26
Data fingerprint: 957239427df16fdb5acc08c4547498b9f5a5b67a2fce609f36e327c72dbcf199
Model: existing-source-policy-v1