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Liaoning Tieren vs Wuhan Three Towns prediction

2026-10-11 · CHN · Kickoff 2026-10-11T11:35:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Liaoning Tieren vs Wuhan Three Towns match analysis

What is the Liaoning Tieren vs Wuhan Three Towns prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Liaoning Tieren (H) at 41.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:40+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 41.6%

Low
1 41.6%X 23.3%2 35.2%
Double chance

12 · 76.7%

Low
1X 64.8%X2 58.4%12 76.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:40+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 41.6%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 15%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings34.8%37.6%27.6%
Market · margin removed41.6%23.3%35.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson34.2%23.2%42.6%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Liaoning Tieren

LDLLL

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-09-12Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (A)0–1
2026-09-06Yunnan Yukun (A)0–5
2026-08-29Chengdu Rongcheng (A)1–2
2026-08-23Henan Songshan Longmen (H)4–4
2026-08-15Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (H)1–2

Wuhan Three Towns

DWDDL

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-18Zhejiang Professional (A)1–4
2026-09-12Henan Songshan Longmen (H)1–1
2026-09-05Qingdao West Coast (H)2–2
2026-08-29Qingdao Hainiu (A)5–1
2026-08-22Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (H)0–0

Head to head

2026-05-16 · Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Liaoning Tieren

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:12:40+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-18
Data fingerprint: d62a6a3534f36059e5a7eed41cea2a544084810ba5feb2bf63a70aa885ca41ec
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →