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Lillestrom vs Aalesund prediction

2026-11-08 · NOR · Kickoff 2026-11-08T16:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Lillestrom vs Aalesund match analysis

What is the Lillestrom vs Aalesund prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Lillestrom (H) at 53.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 78.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:31+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–2

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 53.9%

Low
1 53.9%X 21.8%2 24.4%
Double chance

12 · 78.2%

Low
1X 75.6%X2 46.1%12 78.2%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:31+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 53.9%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 10%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings47.3%31.4%21.4%
Market · margin removed53.9%21.8%24.4%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson57.7%21.5%20.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Lillestrom

LDWWW

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-11-01Start (A)1–0
2026-10-25Brann (H)3–2
2026-10-18Sandefjord (A)2–0
2026-10-11Molde (H)2–2
2026-09-20Viking (A)0–3

Aalesund

WLWLL

Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 2.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-31Sandefjord (H)3–4
2026-10-25Sarpsborg 08 (A)1–2
2026-10-17Kristiansund (A)4–1
2026-10-11Sarpsborg 08 (H)2–4
2026-09-19Molde (A)2–1

Head to head

2026-03-15 · Aalesund 1–3 Lillestrom

2023-09-03 · Aalesund 1–1 Lillestrom

2023-07-19 · Lillestrom 5–1 Aalesund

2022-11-06 · Aalesund 2–1 Lillestrom

2022-04-28 · Lillestrom 2–0 Aalesund

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T10:21:31+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: 3212df28621a4aae9aed1c8be8ab0f80fcbaf197946fdad690be68888bb74241
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →