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Lillestrom vs Molde prediction

2026-10-11 · NOR · Kickoff 2026-10-11T17:15:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Lillestrom vs Molde match analysis

What is the Lillestrom vs Molde prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Molde (A) at 44.5%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:58+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 44.5%

Low
1 31.6%X 24.0%2 44.5%
Double chance

12 · 76.0%

Low
1X 55.5%X2 68.4%12 76.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:58+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 44.5%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 14%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings27.8%37.8%34.5%
Market · margin removed31.6%24.0%44.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson29.8%23.9%46.3%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Lillestrom

DLWWL

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-20Viking (A)0–3
2026-09-12Valerenga (H)2–0
2026-09-05Brann (A)2–1
2026-08-30Fredrikstad (H)1–4
2026-08-15KFUM Oslo (A)1–1

Molde

WWWWL

Scored / game: 2.60
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-19Aalesund (H)1–2
2026-09-13HamKam (A)5–1
2026-09-06KFUM Oslo (H)2–0
2026-08-30Valerenga (A)4–3
2026-08-16Tromso (H)3–2

Head to head

2026-04-06 · Molde 0–1 Lillestrom

2024-08-11 · Lillestrom 1–2 Molde

2024-07-07 · Molde 3–0 Lillestrom

2023-11-12 · Molde 4–0 Lillestrom

2023-04-23 · Lillestrom 2–1 Molde

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:12:58+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 6eb47e93cdf415bf6b8964450296fe16de8ef5e1d4aea33619fb7ea2d13987cc
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →