Lincoln vs Swansea prediction
S2026-09-19 · E1 · Kickoff 2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Lincoln vs Swansea prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Swansea (A) at 38.5%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:06:30+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 38.5%
Low12 · 72.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:06:30+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 38.5%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 11%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 31.6% | 39.2% | 29.2% |
| Market · margin removed | 33.8% | 27.7% | 38.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 39.9% | 32.0% | 28.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-15
Data fingerprint: 3f50df471e7b97b206ef590404ea90db24521b8010ff6e532768d3976af018b9
Model: existing-source-policy-v1