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Livingston vs Arbroath prediction

2026-10-24 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Livingston vs Arbroath match analysis

What is the Livingston vs Arbroath prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Livingston (H) at 70.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 88.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:10:06+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 70.4%

Low
1 70.4%X 18.2%2 11.4%
Double chance

1X · 88.6%

Low
1X 88.6%X2 29.6%12 81.8%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:10:06+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 70.4%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 24%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings47.8%31.1%21.1%
Market · margin removed70.4%18.2%11.4%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson71.8%19.0%9.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Livingston

DWLLD

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-17Dunfermline (A)0–0
2026-10-10Partick (H)1–2
2026-10-03Ayr (H)1–2
2026-09-25Raith Rvs (A)2–0
2026-09-19Inverness C (H)2–2

Arbroath

LWLLL

Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-17Inverness C (A)0–2
2026-10-10Morton (H)1–2
2026-10-03Partick (A)0–3
2026-09-25Queens Park (H)2–1
2026-09-19Stenhousemuir (A)0–1

Head to head

2026-08-29 · Arbroath 1–0 Livingston

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:10:06+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-20
Data fingerprint: df5a1f04bb658d5e39b75f4d96ab138eaeb17e3b0b7e4af508142b4f700fc137
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →