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Livingston vs Ayr prediction

2026-10-03 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-10-03T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Livingston vs Ayr match analysis

What is the Livingston vs Ayr prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Livingston (H) at 60.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 82.9%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-02T09:18:50+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 60.4%

Medium
1 60.4%X 22.5%2 17.1%
Double chance

1X · 82.9%

Medium
1X 82.9%X2 39.6%12 77.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-02T09:18:50+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 60.4%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 11%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings49.5%30.2%20.2%
Market · margin removed60.4%22.5%17.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson59.8%23.6%16.6%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Livingston

LLWDW

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-09-25Raith Rvs (A)2–0
2026-09-19Inverness C (H)2–2
2026-09-11Morton (A)4–1
2026-09-04Stenhousemuir (H)0–1
2026-08-29Arbroath (A)0–1

Ayr

DLLWL

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-25Stenhousemuir (H)0–1
2026-09-18Queens Park (A)2–0
2026-09-12Inverness C (H)1–3
2026-09-05Partick (A)0–1
2026-08-29Morton (H)1–1

Head to head

2025-04-18 · Livingston 5–0 Ayr

2025-02-22 · Ayr 1–2 Livingston

2024-12-21 · Livingston 0–1 Ayr

2024-10-19 · Ayr 1–2 Livingston

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-02T09:18:50+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-25
Data fingerprint: 850e73811e449d38f721499b59ec4747eef72946219f66a7de07baab312c02ff
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →