Lorient vs Brest prediction
B
2026-11-02 · F1 · Kickoff 2026-11-02T19:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Lorient vs Brest prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Lorient (H) at 38.4%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:30+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 38.4%
Low12 · 71.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:30+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-11-02T18:44:21+00:00. 0.7 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-02T18:45:08+00:00.
1 · 37.3%
✕ Wrong12 · 69.7%
✓ CorrectPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 38.4% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 28.9% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Brest | 32.6% | 100.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Lorient
Draw
Brest
All event markets · 3
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-10-31?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $103.19K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5851632Fetched 2026-11-11T02:48:36+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-03T21:40:07.43143Z
Will FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $33.00K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5851638Fetched 2026-11-11T02:48:36+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-03T21:36:08.859082Z
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-10-31?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $43.98K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5851646Fetched 2026-11-11T02:48:36+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-03T21:48:06.837712Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-11-02T19:41:14+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 38.4%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 11%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 37.2% | 36.4% | 26.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 38.4% | 28.9% | 32.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 39.1% | 25.0% | 35.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-26. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Lorient
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 6 / 10
Brest
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-07 · Brest 2–0 Lorient
2025-10-19 · Lorient 3–3 Brest
2024-03-31 · Lorient 0–1 Brest
2023-12-20 · Brest 4–0 Lorient
2023-05-07 · Lorient 2–1 Brest
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-26
Data fingerprint: d4b80935f50741a8d9e39ddd14165b6cd33e1b432039008fe007519391df63ea
Model: existing-source-policy-v1