Machida vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction
AF
2026-10-18 · JPN · Kickoff 2026-10-18T07:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Machida vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Machida (H) at 52.9%. The double-chance call is 1X at 80.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:36+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 52.9%
Low1X · 80.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:36+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 52.9%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 9%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 48.6% | 30.7% | 20.7% |
| Market · margin removed | 52.9% | 27.0% | 20.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 57.3% | 26.3% | 16.5% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Machida
Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Avispa Fukuoka
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2025-10-18 · Machida 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka
2025-03-29 · Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Machida
2024-09-14 · Avispa Fukuoka 0–3 Machida
2024-06-22 · Machida 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: cdf7eef6db7d4f67df3ac48307d557e312712a9f245192079f78a88e4af30ac2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1