Kickstatix football crestKICKSTATIXFOOTBALL. WITH THE FACTS.
Every match. Every call.
Our track record ↗
← FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS

Machida vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction

2026-11-08 · JPN · Kickoff 2026-11-08T05:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Machida vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima match analysis

What is the Machida vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (A) at 41.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.9%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:23+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–0

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 41.9%

Low
1 31.0%X 27.1%2 41.9%
Double chance

12 · 72.9%

Low
1X 58.1%X2 69.0%12 72.9%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:23+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 41.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 14%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings31.8%39.1%29.1%
Market · margin removed31.0%27.1%41.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson43.7%28.2%28.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Machida

WWWDD

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-11-01Gamba Osaka (H)0–0
2026-10-24Vissel Kobe (A)0–0
2026-10-21Shimizu S-Pulse (A)5–0
2026-10-18Avispa Fukuoka (H)3–0
2026-10-10Kyoto (A)1–0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WWLWW

Scored / game: 2.40
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 7 / 10

2026-10-31Mito (A)3–0
2026-10-24Shimizu S-Pulse (H)4–0
2026-10-21V-Varen Nagasaki (A)0–4
2026-10-17Kyoto (H)3–0
2026-10-11Verdy (A)2–0

Head to head

2025-10-04 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Machida

2025-02-16 · Machida 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2024-09-28 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Machida

2024-04-03 · Machida 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T10:21:23+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: ebc842263282895b6bfe999e3a0f2bddc9c7074ff72bf7a2041c750ee3950e90
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →