Mallorca vs Cadiz prediction
C2026-11-02 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-11-02T20:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Mallorca vs Cadiz prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Mallorca (H) at 64.7%. The double-chance call is 1X at 86.4%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:56:07+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 64.7%
Medium1X · 86.4%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:56:07+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 64.7%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 17%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 47.7% | 31.1% | 21.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 64.7% | 21.7% | 13.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 62.7% | 25.5% | 11.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-26. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Mallorca
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 0.60
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Cadiz
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-26
Data fingerprint: 01ff3b1e28622a6d28ba99376438ea12beb463d5e37de13cddf78e02fdbb75a0
Model: existing-source-policy-v1