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Mallorca vs Las Palmas prediction

2026-10-11 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-10-11T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Mallorca vs Las Palmas match analysis

What is the Mallorca vs Las Palmas prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Mallorca (H) at 61.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 84.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:49+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 61.0%

Low
1 61.0%X 23.2%2 15.8%
Double chance

1X · 84.2%

Low
1X 84.2%X2 39.0%12 76.8%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:49+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 61.0%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 32%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
Method1X2
Elo ratings29.3%39.3%31.4%
Market · margin removed61.0%23.2%15.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson43.2%37.9%18.9%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-05. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Mallorca

DWWLD

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 0.38
Clean sheets: 6 / 8

2026-10-04Girona (A)0–0
2026-09-27Almeria (H)0–1
2026-09-19Sociedad B (A)1–0
2026-09-13Sabadell (H)2–0
2026-09-05Eldense (A)0–0

Las Palmas

DWLLD

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-04Valladolid (H)2–2
2026-09-27Eibar (A)2–3
2026-09-20Burgos (H)1–2
2026-09-12Cadiz (A)1–0
2026-09-04Leganes (H)0–0

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:49+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-05
Data fingerprint: 111fee2610cb09e2777347deba22575e97d82bd8c3f5aad6d57876dee47e48bb
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →