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Malmo FF vs Kalmar prediction

2026-10-12 · SWE · Kickoff 2026-10-12T17:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Malmo FF vs Kalmar match analysis

What is the Malmo FF vs Kalmar prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Malmo FF (H) at 55.3%. The double-chance call is 1X at 79.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:13:15+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 55.3%

Medium
1 55.3%X 24.1%2 20.6%
Double chance

1X · 79.4%

Medium
1X 79.4%X2 44.7%12 75.9%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:13:15+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 55.3%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 18%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings50.1%30.0%20.0%
Market · margin removed55.3%24.1%20.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson67.8%19.8%12.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Malmo FF

LWDWL

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-19Vasteras SK (A)0–2
2026-09-13Orgryte (H)4–1
2026-09-07AIK (H)0–0
2026-08-31Sirius (A)1–0
2026-08-24Djurgarden (H)0–3

Kalmar

DLLLL

Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-20Hacken (H)0–5
2026-09-13Elfsborg (A)0–1
2026-09-07Djurgarden (H)0–1
2026-08-29Halmstad (A)0–1
2026-08-23Vasteras SK (A)0–0

Head to head

2026-07-20 · Kalmar 2–2 Malmo FF

2024-08-24 · Kalmar 2–2 Malmo FF

2024-05-24 · Malmo FF 5–0 Kalmar

2023-10-08 · Kalmar 1–0 Malmo FF

2023-04-01 · Malmo FF 1–0 Kalmar

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:13:15+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: b2ed3c2736eb2ba550fc811d87feebb4743b0b355fa7cdfe81567bdcef316078
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →