Mechelen vs Genk prediction
G2026-10-31 · B1 · Kickoff 2026-10-31T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Mechelen vs Genk prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Genk (A) at 50.2%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.4%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:01+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 50.2%
Low12 · 75.4%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:01+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 50.2%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 13%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 26.5% | 36.5% | 37.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 25.2% | 24.6% | 50.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 30.3% | 24.0% | 45.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Mechelen
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 2.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Genk
Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-13 · Mechelen 2–3 Genk
2025-11-23 · Genk 0–1 Mechelen
2025-01-18 · Mechelen 1–2 Genk
2024-09-28 · Genk 2–1 Mechelen
2024-02-11 · Mechelen 1–1 Genk
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-25
Data fingerprint: 1edf9c3a07a782e50ba17620941b4167e17e98f6390e7a0a14d690751522c563
Model: existing-source-policy-v1