Kickstatix football crestKICKSTATIXFOOTBALL. WITH THE FACTS.
Every match. Every call.
Our track record ↗
← FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS

Metz vs Sochaux prediction

2026-10-17 · F2 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T12:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Metz vs Sochaux match analysis

What is the Metz vs Sochaux prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Metz (H) at 53.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 79.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:53+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–2

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 53.1%

Low
1 53.1%X 26.4%2 20.5%
Double chance

1X · 79.5%

Low
1X 79.5%X2 46.9%12 73.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:53+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 53.1%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 5%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings48.8%30.6%20.6%
Market · margin removed53.1%26.4%20.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson52.0%25.7%22.3%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Metz

DWLDL

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-12Dijon (A)2–4
2026-09-19St Etienne (H)2–2
2026-09-14Red Star (A)0–1
2026-09-05Rodez (H)4–1
2026-08-29Annecy (A)1–1

Sochaux

DDWDD

Scored / game: 0.60
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-09Boulogne (H)1–1
2026-09-18Laval (A)1–1
2026-09-12Nantes (H)1–0
2026-09-04Pau FC (A)1–1
2026-08-28Clermont (A)0–0

Head to head

2023-05-26 · Sochaux 0–1 Metz

2022-10-15 · Metz 0–0 Sochaux

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:39:53+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 75eed4068c74594140e29c2389560d301b0ccca5d67af29efc282c42de4ec944
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →