Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske prediction
S2026-11-08 · DNK · Kickoff 2026-11-08T17:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Midtjylland (H) at 72.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 87.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:11+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 72.4%
Medium1X · 87.6%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:11+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 72.4%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 14%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 58.1% | 25.9% | 15.9% |
| Market · margin removed | 72.4% | 15.1% | 12.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 66.4% | 18.6% | 15.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Midtjylland
Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Sonderjyske
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 2.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-07-26 · Sonderjyske 2–3 Midtjylland
2026-04-23 · Sonderjyske 1–2 Midtjylland
2026-04-04 · Midtjylland 2–2 Sonderjyske
2025-11-23 · Sonderjyske 2–1 Midtjylland
2025-07-28 · Midtjylland 6–2 Sonderjyske
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: 49a6239bbb1537a5dfefc385553a03218277f7940b5cae874e8c4c015ead4fd1
Model: existing-source-policy-v1