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Milan vs Bologna prediction

2026-10-28 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-28T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Milan vs Bologna match analysis

What is the Milan vs Bologna prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Milan (H) at 59.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 83.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-27T12:39:51+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–4

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 59.4%

Medium
1 59.4%X 24.0%2 16.5%
Double chance

1X · 83.5%

Low
1X 83.5%X2 40.6%12 76.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-27T12:39:51+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 59.4%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 14%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings45.7%32.1%22.1%
Market · margin removed59.4%24.0%16.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson48.9%24.7%26.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Milan

DWDWW

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-25Udinese (A)2–0
2026-10-18Atalanta (H)3–2
2026-10-11Sassuolo (A)1–1
2026-09-20Lecce (H)3–0
2026-09-12Lazio (A)2–2

Bologna

LDWLW

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-24Cagliari (A)2–0
2026-10-17Inter (H)1–3
2026-10-11Lecce (A)2–1
2026-09-19Torino (H)1–1
2026-09-13Napoli (A)0–1

Head to head

2026-02-03 · Bologna 0–3 Milan

2025-09-14 · Milan 1–0 Bologna

2025-05-09 · Milan 3–1 Bologna

2025-02-27 · Bologna 2–1 Milan

2024-01-27 · Milan 2–2 Bologna

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-27T12:39:51+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-25
Data fingerprint: 1af511e7fdc222dc0a4da2c24c6e463faf15424407e49465e4b6ef350e1a4b6d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →