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Mito vs Shimizu S-Pulse prediction

2026-10-11 · JPN · Kickoff 2026-10-11T06:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Mito vs Shimizu S-Pulse match analysis

What is the Mito vs Shimizu S-Pulse prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Draw (D) at 29.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:55+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

X · 29.0%

Low
1 35.5%X 29.0%2 35.5%
Double chance

12 · 71.0%

Low
1X 64.5%X2 64.5%12 71.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:55+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; D has probability 29.0%.
  • The existing decision policy selects a draw in this close match; the published pick differs from the largest probability.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 20%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
Method1X2
Elo ratings40.0%35.0%25.0%
Market · margin removed35.5%29.0%35.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson55.3%22.4%22.3%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Mito

DWDLL

Scored / game: 1.38
Conceded / game: 1.38
Clean sheets: 0 / 8

2026-09-19Yokohama F. Marinos (A)0–2
2026-09-12Kawasaki Frontale (H)0–1
2026-09-05Avispa Fukuoka (A)1–1
2026-09-02Kashima Antlers (H)4–2
2026-08-29Machida (H)1–1

Shimizu S-Pulse

LDLWW

Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-19Chiba (H)2–1
2026-09-12Avispa Fukuoka (H)1–0
2026-09-06Kawasaki Frontale (A)1–3
2026-09-02FC Tokyo (H)1–1
2026-08-29Kashiwa Reysol (H)0–1

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:12:55+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 5c0d4e2d4516be93b23f5dfda16209d037b5a132b956a253ec2f615e87ec4850
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →