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Mjallby vs Degerfors prediction

2026-10-10 · SWE · Kickoff 2026-10-10T15:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Mjallby vs Degerfors match analysis

What is the Mjallby vs Degerfors prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Mjallby (H) at 50.9%. The double-chance call is 1X at 77.9%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:13:15+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 50.9%

Low
1 50.9%X 27.0%2 22.1%
Double chance

1X · 77.9%

Low
1X 77.9%X2 49.1%12 73.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:13:15+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 50.9%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 9%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings52.0%29.0%19.0%
Market · margin removed50.9%27.0%22.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson59.9%23.0%17.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Mjallby

LLDDL

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-20GAIS (H)0–3
2026-09-16AIK (A)1–1
2026-09-11Hacken (A)1–1
2026-09-07Goteborg (H)1–4
2026-09-03Djurgarden (H)0–2

Degerfors

LLWLL

Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-20Hammarby (H)0–1
2026-09-14Sirius (A)0–2
2026-09-05Halmstad (H)2–0
2026-08-29Elfsborg (A)0–2
2026-08-23Brommapojkarna (A)0–2

Head to head

2026-05-09 · Degerfors 1–4 Mjallby

2025-09-13 · Degerfors 0–1 Mjallby

2025-04-27 · Mjallby 4–1 Degerfors

2023-11-12 · Degerfors 1–2 Mjallby

2023-04-16 · Mjallby 2–0 Degerfors

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:13:15+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: b2ed3c2736eb2ba550fc811d87feebb4743b0b355fa7cdfe81567bdcef316078
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →