Mjallby vs Degerfors prediction
D2026-10-10 · SWE · Kickoff 2026-10-10T15:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Mjallby vs Degerfors prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Mjallby (H) at 50.9%. The double-chance call is 1X at 77.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:13:15+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 50.9%
Low1X · 77.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:13:15+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 50.9%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 9%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 52.0% | 29.0% | 19.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 50.9% | 27.0% | 22.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 59.9% | 23.0% | 17.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Mjallby
Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Degerfors
Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-09 · Degerfors 1–4 Mjallby
2025-09-13 · Degerfors 0–1 Mjallby
2025-04-27 · Mjallby 4–1 Degerfors
2023-11-12 · Degerfors 1–2 Mjallby
2023-04-16 · Mjallby 2–0 Degerfors
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: b2ed3c2736eb2ba550fc811d87feebb4743b0b355fa7cdfe81567bdcef316078
Model: existing-source-policy-v1