Molde vs Aalesund prediction
A
2026-09-19 · NOR · Kickoff 2026-09-19T16:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Molde vs Aalesund prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Molde (H) at 73.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 87.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:12:36+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 73.5%
Low1X · 87.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:12:36+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 73.5%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 23%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 53.8% | 28.1% | 18.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 73.5% | 14.4% | 12.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 77.0% | 13.8% | 9.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-14
Data fingerprint: f75f59cd7bfe33bb6c29a679d86cddf03597bf9ceea42557a3302813a8315325
Model: existing-source-policy-v1