Molde vs Fredrikstad prediction
F
2026-10-25 · NOR · Kickoff 2026-10-25T19:15:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Molde vs Fredrikstad prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Molde (H) at 66.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 86.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:57:16+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 5–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 66.0%
Low1X · 86.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:57:16+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 66.0%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 27%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 40.8% | 34.6% | 24.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 66.0% | 20.0% | 14.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 67.6% | 18.6% | 13.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Molde
Scored / game: 3.10
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Fredrikstad
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2025-09-13 · Molde 1–2 Fredrikstad
2025-07-12 · Fredrikstad 4–2 Molde
2024-09-14 · Molde 6–1 Fredrikstad
2024-07-13 · Fredrikstad 0–0 Molde
2012-11-18 · Fredrikstad 0–2 Molde
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-18
Data fingerprint: 03f7438cd147ea88173e86d11a59d4454875ba4b759449de5a77ecfc7697c0cc
Model: existing-source-policy-v1