Monterrey vs Cruz Azul prediction
CA2026-09-20 · MEX · Kickoff 2026-09-20T01:10:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Monterrey vs Cruz Azul prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Monterrey (H) at 39.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:11:58+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 39.1%
Low12 · 73.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:11:58+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 39.1%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 21%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 24.8% | 34.8% | 40.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 39.1% | 27.0% | 33.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 45.8% | 26.0% | 28.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-16
Data fingerprint: eadabe97c5069055b35ae25a9aa6ff36a4ad1ac5e54f6f3e4e202cf33e83c390
Model: existing-source-policy-v1