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Montpellier vs Grenoble prediction

2026-10-09 · F2 · Kickoff 2026-10-09T18:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Montpellier vs Grenoble match analysis

What is the Montpellier vs Grenoble prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Montpellier (H) at 59.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 84.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:30+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 59.5%

Medium
1 59.5%X 24.6%2 15.9%
Double chance

1X · 84.1%

Medium
1X 84.1%X2 40.5%12 75.4%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:30+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 59.5%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 18%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings41.5%34.2%24.2%
Market · margin removed59.5%24.6%15.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson46.5%31.5%22.0%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Montpellier

WDLWD

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-09-18Reims (A)1–1
2026-09-11Pau FC (H)1–0
2026-09-05St Etienne (A)1–3
2026-08-28Boulogne (H)0–0
2026-08-21Dunkerque (A)1–0

Grenoble

LWLWD

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-09-18Clermont (H)1–1
2026-09-11Rodez (A)1–0
2026-09-04Annecy (H)1–2
2026-08-28Laval (A)3–0
2026-08-22St Etienne (A)0–4

Head to head

2026-04-17 · Montpellier 2–1 Grenoble

2025-12-13 · Grenoble 1–1 Montpellier

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:30+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-19
Data fingerprint: dea91dd83b1f7f5ddabd1b05b9382d591e45b709149ab94f493e661886d1329c
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →