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Monza vs Atalanta prediction

2026-11-08 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-11-08T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Monza vs Atalanta match analysis

What is the Monza vs Atalanta prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Atalanta (A) at 46.8%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:56+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 46.8%

Low
1 27.9%X 25.3%2 46.8%
Double chance

12 · 74.7%

Low
1X 53.2%X2 72.1%12 74.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:56+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 46.8%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 12%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings21.2%31.2%47.6%
Market · margin removed27.9%25.3%46.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson19.5%21.7%58.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Monza

LWLLL

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 2.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-31Bologna (A)1–2
2026-10-28Napoli (H)1–4
2026-10-23Torino (A)2–3
2026-10-19Cagliari (H)4–0
2026-10-11Lazio (A)1–3

Atalanta

WLDDL

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-11-02Parma (H)0–3
2026-10-29Fiorentina (A)2–2
2026-10-25Frosinone (H)4–4
2026-10-18Milan (A)2–3
2026-10-12Venezia (H)3–1

Head to head

2025-05-04 · Monza 0–4 Atalanta

2024-10-30 · Atalanta 2–0 Monza

2024-04-21 · Monza 1–2 Atalanta

2023-09-02 · Atalanta 3–0 Monza

2023-06-04 · Atalanta 5–2 Monza

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:27:56+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: 82c418b37eaef7de41d7efe459abbed78665de61cf3e87dfcaf9a6484eec3fd9
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →