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Monza vs Napoli prediction

2026-10-28 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-28T19:45:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Monza vs Napoli match analysis

What is the Monza vs Napoli prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Napoli (A) at 55.5%. The double-chance call is X2 at 79.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-27T12:39:51+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–4

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 55.5%

Medium
1 21.0%X 23.6%2 55.5%
Double chance

X2 · 79.0%

Medium
1X 44.5%X2 79.0%12 76.4%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-27T12:39:51+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 55.5%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 6%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings18.1%28.1%53.8%
Market · margin removed21.0%23.6%55.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson17.2%22.7%60.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Monza

LWLWL

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 2.30
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-23Torino (A)2–3
2026-10-19Cagliari (H)4–0
2026-10-11Lazio (A)1–3
2026-09-18Sassuolo (H)2–1
2026-09-13Lecce (A)2–3

Napoli

WDWLD

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-24Roma (H)3–3
2026-10-17Venezia (A)0–1
2026-10-10Frosinone (H)3–0
2026-09-20Fiorentina (A)1–1
2026-09-13Bologna (H)1–0

Head to head

2025-04-19 · Monza 0–1 Napoli

2024-09-29 · Napoli 2–0 Monza

2024-04-07 · Monza 2–4 Napoli

2023-12-29 · Napoli 0–0 Monza

2023-05-14 · Monza 2–0 Napoli

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-27T12:39:51+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-25
Data fingerprint: 1af511e7fdc222dc0a4da2c24c6e463faf15424407e49465e4b6ef350e1a4b6d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →