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Morton vs Ayr prediction

2026-10-24 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Morton vs Ayr match analysis

What is the Morton vs Ayr prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Ayr (A) at 43.2%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:10:06+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 43.2%

Low
1 29.9%X 26.9%2 43.2%
Double chance

12 · 73.1%

Low
1X 56.8%X2 70.1%12 73.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:10:06+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 43.2%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 14%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings30.7%39.6%29.6%
Market · margin removed29.9%26.9%43.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson37.0%26.2%36.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Morton

LLLWW

Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-17Queens Park (H)2–0
2026-10-10Arbroath (A)2–1
2026-10-03Raith Rvs (H)1–2
2026-09-25Inverness C (A)0–2
2026-09-19Dunfermline (H)0–1

Ayr

WLWDL

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-16Partick (H)0–1
2026-10-10Dunfermline (H)1–1
2026-10-03Livingston (A)2–1
2026-09-25Stenhousemuir (H)0–1
2026-09-18Queens Park (A)2–0

Head to head

2026-08-29 · Ayr 1–1 Morton

2026-03-21 · Ayr 0–1 Morton

2025-12-27 · Morton 1–1 Ayr

2025-10-18 · Ayr 2–1 Morton

2025-08-23 · Morton 2–2 Ayr

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:10:06+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-20
Data fingerprint: df5a1f04bb658d5e39b75f4d96ab138eaeb17e3b0b7e4af508142b4f700fc137
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →