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Morton vs Raith Rvs prediction

2026-10-03 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-10-03T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Morton vs Raith Rvs match analysis

What is the Morton vs Raith Rvs prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Raith Rvs (A) at 59.9%. The double-chance call is X2 at 83.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-02T09:18:50+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–2

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 59.9%

Low
1 16.6%X 23.4%2 59.9%
Double chance

X2 · 83.4%

Low
1X 40.1%X2 83.4%12 76.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-02T09:18:50+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 59.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 22%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings26.2%36.2%37.5%
Market · margin removed16.6%23.4%59.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson34.9%27.5%37.6%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Morton

DLLLL

Scored / game: 0.50
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-09-25Inverness C (A)0–2
2026-09-19Dunfermline (H)0–1
2026-09-11Livingston (H)1–4
2026-09-05Queens Park (A)1–2
2026-08-29Ayr (A)1–1

Raith Rvs

LWWDL

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-09-25Livingston (H)0–2
2026-09-19Partick (A)0–0
2026-09-12Arbroath (H)4–0
2026-09-05Inverness C (A)2–0
2026-08-28Dunfermline (A)0–1

Head to head

2026-04-11 · Raith Rvs 3–2 Morton

2026-02-14 · Morton 0–0 Raith Rvs

2025-11-01 · Raith Rvs 1–1 Morton

2025-09-06 · Morton 0–1 Raith Rvs

2025-04-26 · Raith Rvs 1–1 Morton

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-02T09:18:50+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-25
Data fingerprint: 850e73811e449d38f721499b59ec4747eef72946219f66a7de07baab312c02ff
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →