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Morton vs Stenhousemuir prediction

2026-11-07 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Morton vs Stenhousemuir match analysis

What is the Morton vs Stenhousemuir prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Stenhousemuir (A) at 36.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.3%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:28:07+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 4–3

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 36.9%

Low
1 35.3%X 27.7%2 36.9%
Double chance

12 · 72.3%

Low
1X 63.1%X2 64.7%12 72.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:28:07+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 36.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 9%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings27.2%37.2%35.6%
Market · margin removed35.3%27.7%36.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson32.4%31.1%36.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-31. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Morton

LLWWW

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-31Partick (A)3–2
2026-10-17Queens Park (H)2–0
2026-10-10Arbroath (A)2–1
2026-10-03Raith Rvs (H)1–2
2026-09-25Inverness C (A)0–2

Stenhousemuir

LDLLL

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-30Livingston (H)0–3
2026-10-27Dunfermline (H)0–1
2026-10-24Partick (A)0–3
2026-10-17Raith Rvs (H)1–1
2026-10-10Inverness C (A)0–2

Head to head

2026-08-08 · Stenhousemuir 2–0 Morton

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:28:07+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-31
Data fingerprint: 96e0e725d6d8c2ab6063b00758f1a47d31491b4e146655cdff1e62a5c11bb3a0
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →